Thursday, 7 May 2015

Polls mean nothing now

Seven in the bed only made for one
Based on the polls it looks like no one party will win the Election so what does that mean? It may well turn into a mad house because it may take more than two parties to make a coalition. Everyone in any possible coalition will have their wants list of goodies in particular, money, and lots of it.

A YouGov poll earlier predicted both Labour and the Tories would both tie with 276 seats leaving both 50 seats short. The same poll has the SNP on 51 meaning there is a possibility of the Lab/SNP coalition if the Labour leader Ed Miliband is inclined to progress along those lines. The Lib Dem could be a 23, meaning Tories could struggle to pass the 326 winning line because of the lack of support among the other parties.

Wales will be red again meaning of the four home nations only one will vote in a Labour victory. The Labour party have been the biggest party in wales since 1922.

I am not sure how the whole election is going to play out. If the Tories are the largest party and they cannot form a majority government, does that mean Labour has a go to see if they can? The Tories could try to go it alone but their Queens speech will surely be voted down so would we go back to the polls.

If Labour were the largest party, would they try to go it alone? Ed Miliband said as much recently there would be no deals, but will he stand by his word. We have heard some in the Labour party and their supporters demand a deal. His biggest supporter SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon tells everyone with in ear shot that it his is duty to form a coalition with the SNP.

All will become clear around 11pm tonight when the first of the results start coming in and give the statisticians something real to work from instead of polls. It’s not just about the election to Westminster the are also council seats up for grubs in England.

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