Looks more and more likely we are going to end up with another coalition government and you can bet the minor parties are writing up their bucket lists. Like all the pundits, I will predict a hung parliament.
All the leaders of these minor parties have their lists in hand ready to push into the letterbox of Ed Miliband and David Cameron the day after the election. They will all be asking for something and it worries me. Why have an election manifesto if you can’t bring it forward unless you can get an agreement with your coalition partners. I personally am not a fan of coalition politics and watering down your beliefs for a leg up to power.
From the horse-trading at will inevitably happen we could end up with the largest unable to form a government, likely to be the Tories. They could try a muddle along but without a majority, they would find it difficult to govern so what would happen then. Will the loser get a chance to form a government or back to the polls?
The majority of the smaller parties likely to win seats would find themselves more comfortable in bed with Labour than the Tories who have little support other than UKIP and the Unionist parties from Northern Ireland. The Liberal’s would pimp themselves out to anybody for a few government jobs so swing both ways. The Green Party who are hoping to win a few seats are talking about joining forces with the SNP and Plaid Cymru to forge a dream team alliance with Labour if there was a hung parliament.
They hope the dream team could have their way with the Labour leader then use their power to dictate terms to a minority Labour administration. All three want to see the end of Trident, which is due for an upgrade at a huge cost just has Russia is rearming but not to worry we can trust the Russians. SNP and Plaid Cymru would want more money for Scotland and Wales and they would possibly want a referendum on Independence, we know the Scots would like another go after defeat last time and of course government jobs. Maybe they could take it in turns being Deputy Prime Minister. Besides getting rid for Trident, I think the Greens want to take us back to the horse and cart way of life.
Nobody want’s Nigel, Mr Farage leader of UKIP not even the Tories who are his only hope of wheeling any kind of power but would the Tories reserves ‘The Liberal Democrats’ be happy. David Cameron and his Tories are short on allies even throwing a bone to his coalition sidekick Nick Clegg. Nick is in line for the biggest kicking in politics since god knows when. The way he jumped into bed with Cameron not only upset the general file members of his party but the many students who voted for him on the promise of an end to tuition fees.
Cameron will need to get over 326 seats to win an outright majority or as near as possible because his friend could come up light. Last time around the Tories, were 20 light of the winning post and needed Nick Clegg and his MPs. The Liberals won 58 seats last time out but the forecasts this time is that they could see their tally drop to less than 20, a Liberal massacre.
Dissolution of Parliament is at the end of the month is the official green light to kick off electioneering. What we are seeing now is the starters before the main meal followed by the afters. After the count if there is a hung Parliament, the horse-trading could take days. Last time it was a tedious three days and the news media in a frenzy
It all makes for an interesting election results night and what about that end of poll prediction. I believe it will be ‘to close to call’ so it will be a long night for the interested.
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